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Weekend Mountain Weather Outlook

All the weather info you need to plan your outdoors weekend and it's looking good for once...


Posted: 13 January 2012
by Walter The Weathergirl

Weekend Weather - January 14-15, 2012

Beinn Lair and Slioch

Our regular Friday round-up of what's in store for the weekend with a quick summary of a selection of mountain and more general forecasts. Bear in mind that they're just projections and depending on how things pan out, the outlook may change over the weekend, so it's worth checking specific forecasts before heading out.

This week's weather image is a snowy scenic shot of Beinn Lair and Slioch by Kinley from the  OM Gallery.

Metcheck

Metcheck About Metcheck: good overviews of localised areas based predominately on a number of meteorological models. Loads of options for stuff like rain forecasts plus offbeat, leftfield weather generalisations. Get stuck in and have a browse, there's a lot on this site.

You can check out individual areas or dig a bit deeper for the Mountain Forecast page or the Climbing Forecast page. The Seven-Day Charts give a handy overview too.

Forecast

'Looking ahead towards the weekend and the settled spell will continue with frost and fog by night perhaps being slow to clear in places, but for many the days should be fine and sunny. Once again though western areas of Ireland in particular will remain cloudier, breezier and milder with some patchy rain at times.'

Mountain Weather Information Service

MWIS About the Mountain Weather Information Service: great downloadable mountain-specific forecasts for NW, W and SE Highlands, Cairngorms, Southern Uplands, Peak District and Lakes in PDF format. Plus a Snowdonia forecast. Scottish forecasts are seven days a week, the Lakes are six days a week and the Peak/Dales and Snowdonia forecasts are now available all week.

Check individual forecasts for specific details. Arguably the best mountain-specific forecast out there by a way . Production is now fully funded by the Scottish Government in the interests of mountain safety with operating and development down to commercial sponsorship.

Forecasts

Saturday Light winds, mostly dry, extensive sunshines, maybe with some fog in the valleys and around freezing both on the summits and in the valleys. Good visibility higher up.
        
Sunday Very similar to Saturday, though later on winds strengthening to as much as 30mph on Scottish hills. Otherwise, dry, bright, clear and sunny with temperatures at all levels hovering around freezing point or just below.

Outlook 'An area of high pressure close to Britain will slowly migrate away eastwards, but will maintain fine and on the mountains mostly sunny weather on Sunday and Monday. Beyond, fronts will come in off the Atlantic, bringing a return to wetter and windy conditions, particularly across Scotland. There will be freeze-thaw cycles, the cold periods most prevalent on the Scottish Highlands, where overall snow will begin to accumulate again.'

Check specific forecasts for details as the weekend progresses.

BBC

BBC Weather About BBC Weather: Revamped for the summer, with easy access to a lot more information including rain forecasts, cloud, wind, temperature, visibility etc. Nice. Localised forecasts accessible from the same page.

Weekend from iPlayer forecast: Saturday starting cold with some foggy patches, then dry and bright with sunshine though cold and an area of high pressure means Sunday will be pretty much the same.

Met Office Mountain Forecasts

Met Office About the Met Office: The giants of weather forecasting in the UK, the Met Office also provides mountain forecasts covering  major UK mountain areas - east and west Highlands, Lakes, Snowdonia, Dales, Peak and the Brecon Beacons. Detailed forecasts for each day are posted early morning - 5 am - plus there's a short outlook section for the next two days. Increasingly our favourite mountain forecast as MWIS becomes more randomly pessimistic.

Forecast

Saturday: Dry pretty much everywhere with sunny spells, some fog and frost early on in Scottish glens, but generally good visibility all round, winds around 20mph on the summits, but pretty still lower down.

Sunday:  Pretty much a repeat of Saturday. 

Check individual forecasts for details.

Met Office General Forecast

Met OfficeAbout the Met Office: See the weather for the next week. The Welsh Mountain Forecasts are also useful online forecasts covering the National Park areas of Snowdonia - and the Brecon Beacons. See above for Met Office mountain forecast links.

Forecast

Saturday: 'Mainly fine and dry after a cold start. Fog patches may be slow to clear. Cloudier at times in the west and around coasts. Brisk southeasterly winds developing in west.'

Sunday to Tuesday: 'Sunday and Monday largely fine but cold, although western parts may be cloudy at times. Outbreaks of rain and hill snow likely to spread into the northwest late on Tuesday.'

Weatherline - Lake District

About weatherline: Funded by the Lake District National Park Authority, the service combines a five-day forecast from the Met Office in Manchester with firsthand information from the fell top assessors' daily climb up Helvellyn. Also available by phone on 0844 846 2444

Forecast

The goods news is that an updated Weatherline site has allowed sponsorship from local businesses which means the at risk fell top assessment service will continue this winter. 


Latest report from Helvellyn (Thursday) snow has mostly gone from the fells with just a few patches in sheltered dips and hollows above 850m and some larger banks. The only place snow is currently unavoidable is the final exit ramp from Striding Edge where there's a short stretch of compacted snow where an ice axe is needed, particularly in descent. Full winter clothing needed thanks to wind chill.

Definitely check back Friday/Saturday to see what conditions are doing with the temperature fluctuating we reckon,

Scottish Midge Forecast

About the Midge Forecast: Innovative midge forecast covering the whole of Scotland and complete with interactive map giving access to seven-day forecasts for main Scottish towns. Midge-heads can also take advantage of extensive midge data which will be updated each week.

Forecast

It's still there, but levels are, not surprisingly, down to negligible pretty much all over. Don't panic.

The forecast is also available via a free iPhone app.

 

Scottish Avalanche Information Service

Scottish Avalanche Information Service About the Scottish Avalanche Information Service: Daily avalanche forecasts over the winter months though obviously not live over the summer.

The forecasts now also include blogs from the SAIS observers complete with recent photos.

Forecast

The avalanche forecast is back for winter. The forecast from yesterday, Thursday, is low for Lochaber, Glencoe the southern Cairngorms and moderate for the northern 'gorms and Creag Meagaidh where there are localised areas of instability despite a generally well bonded snow pack. So looking generally good.

Snow conditions can change rapidly, so always check the latest forecast before heading out and adjust your plans accordingly.

Summary


 Sunshine, dryness, light winds and, we're guessing, frozen ground.
 Some fog in the valleys.

Verdict

This is more like it. A high pressure area's making things nice and stable over the weekend with light winds, very little, if any, rain and lots of sunny periods with generally excellent visibility. The only thing metaphorically raining on the parade will be the possibility of fog in glens and valleys.

Sunday's looking like a repeat of Saturday. Again it'll be dry, bright and clear. Temperatures up top and in the valleys initially at least will be around freezing or just below with overnight frost, we're guessing too that soft ground higher up will be frozen making for good walking and biking conditions and even the Scottish snowpack is playing ball at the time of writing.

In short, a cracking weekend, just get out and enjoy it!

Have a good one.
Obvious Disclaimer Hey come on, we all know mountain weather's unpredictable, and while the above forecasts and links are a guide to what the weather may do, remember that mountain areas also tend to generate their own conditions, temperatures are much cooler up top than in the valleys and conditions can be totally different from down in the valleys.

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